A single Polymarket market on whether the US and Iran will reach a permanent peace deal has now exceeded $354 million in trading volume — one of the largest in platform history. Yet after both countries announced an agreement, the market remains unresolved and heavily disputed. The core problem? Nobody can agree on what “permanent” actually means in the contract rules. What Happened US and Iran announced a deal (including a reported 60-day reopening of the Strait of Hormuz). Yes holders pushed f

Polymarket’s $354M US-Iran “Permanent Peace” Market Is Stuck: Why Ambiguous Resolution Criteria Are a Trader’s Nightmare
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