Nature Climate Change

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 16 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02641-w Climate change is predicted to increase extremes of weather, affecting ecosystems and resulting in biodiversity losses. We leveraged advances in climate seasonal forecasts to develop an early warning system that helps identify exposure of species to extreme temperatures. The forecasts provided by this system can…

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 19 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02665-2 The economic impact of climate change has been widely acknowledged, yet current assessments remain fragmented and uncertain. Researchers develop a comprehensive channel-specific framework, apply it to the UK and show that the potential welfare loss could be much larger than previous estimates.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02693-y Author Correction: Priority science can accelerate agroforestry as a natural climate solution

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 18 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02669-y The authors analyse global-scale resurvey data for 5,151 species to reveal the sensitivity of tropical versus temperate species to climate change. They show significantly higher frequencies of local extinction in temperate species than in tropical species, linked to faster warming at high latitudes.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02654-5 Greenhouse gas emissions are typically attributed to where they are produced or consumed. A recent analysis traces them to capital owners, revealing a stronger concentration and offering new perspectives on how they are distributed — and why it matters.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02662-5 An ownership-based approach to carbon accounting is emerging alongside production- and consumption-based frameworks. This study provides global estimates, identifies which countries are net owners of emissions abroad and traces the concentration of ownership emissions among top wealth groups.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 19 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02672-3 Ecosystems are changing rapidly because of climate change, and this will have increasing social effects around the globe. We suggest that common social responses to rising novelty are often counterproductive, and we advocate for strategies that also allow for acceptance and adaptation to changes in nature.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 17 June 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02677-y The biophysical effects of forests on climate are important for mitigation, but the impacts of climate change on these effects are unclear. This study shows that vapour pressure deficit is the primary driver of trends in forest biophysical cooling, regulated by plant anisohydricity.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02635-8 New steel capacity expansion is critical for the feasibility of climate targets, as plants operate for decades. Researchers estimate that while existing and planned plants could commit large emissions, strategic investments using climate finance can largely avert this.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 21 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02634-9 Coal-based steel plants risk locking in 60 billion tonnes of CO2 by 2070, but most of these emissions can still be avoided at moderate cost. Steel need not be hard to decarbonize: policymakers must seize the narrow window to redirect investments towards cleaner alternatives this decade.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 22 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02667-0 Author Correction: Atmospheric warming contributions from airborne microplastics and nanoplastics

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 28 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02653-6 Climate change worsens air pollution, posing major health risks, yet current social cost of carbon (SCC) models exclude these damages. This Review outlines a framework for including air quality impacts in the SCC and reviews existing evidence to inform near-term modelling efforts.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 27 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02644-7 Climate debates often frame individual behaviour and systems change as distinct pathways to action. We suggest that social change arises from individuals’ agency within their roles in societal systems, and that this agency should be actively leveraged to achieve meaningful climate change mitigation.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 22 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02661-6 International collaboration has facilitated a global ocean observing system, providing data to measure ocean heat content at a resolution that enables the tracking of climate change. This study looks at the contributing nations and the risks to the network under the current political and economic climate.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 19 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02655-4 The authors reconstruct historical seabird dispersal routes, showing that birds responded to temperature shifts by changes in range size rather than body mass. These trends are projected to persist, with higher rates of warming causing greater range contractions and longer dispersal distances.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 19 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02640-x Climate change impacts are no longer distant but have entered people’s everyday experiences. Here we look back on a 2011 paper that showed how direct personal experience shapes people’s climate change perceptions, their beliefs about the efficacy of their action and willingness to act, and how the field of resear…

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 12 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02638-5 The authors use 34 years of seed harvest data from Poland, covering over 40,000 observations and five common species, to understand the impacts of climate change on tree fecundity. They show reduced fecundity across all species, with hotter summers as the dominant driver.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02631-y Assessments of coastal ecosystem resilience typically consider the impacts of annual mean sea-level rise, while increases in the seasonal sea-level cycle could also affect intertidal ecosystems. The authors show how such increases can threaten intertidal zones through altering the frequency and duration of inunda…

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 13 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02630-z Climate-friendly intentions do not always translate into action. This Review synthesizes evidence on the intrapersonal, social and structural mechanisms underlying this gap and outlines interventions that offer actionable strategies to close it.

Nature Climate Change, Published online: 11 May 2026; doi:10.1038/s41558-026-02646-5 City type specifies carbon cycle